Dr Ana Galvao
Associate Professor of Economic Modelling and Forecasting
Research Interests
Ana Galvao research interests are on empirical macroeconomics, forecasting, and nonlinear time series models. Her research has been widely published in leading academic journals such as Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Business and Economics Statistics, Journal of Applied Econometrics, European Economic Review and International Journal of Forecasting.
Personal Website: https://sites.google.com/site/anabgalvao/
Teaching in 2017-2018
Executive MBA
- IB93R0: Economics of the Business Environment
Executive MBA (London)
- IB93RL: Economics of the Business Environment
Management
- IB9150: Forecasting for Decision Makers
Postgraduate Research Business and Management
- IB9DU0: Applied Multiple Regression Analysis
Economic Modelling & Forecasting, Global Energy Research Network
Email: Ana.Galvao@wbs.ac.uk / Tel: 024 765 28202 / Room: 1.016
Biography
Ana Beatriz Galvão is Associate Professor of Economic Modelling and Forecasting at Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, since 2013. She was previously Reader in Economics at the School of Economics and Finance of Queen Mary, University of London. She holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Warwick (2002)
Her currently research on data uncertainty is being funded by the ONS-Economic Statistics Centre for Excellence. She was the principal investigator of an ESRC-funded research project on "Economic Forecasting under Macroeconomic Uncertainty" over the 2013-2015 period.
She is currently Associate Editor of the International Journal of Forecasting and the Economic Modelling, and it is part of the team behind the Warwick Business School Forecasting System.
Publications
Journal Articles
- Ana Galvao (2017) "Data revisions and DSGE models", Journal of Econometrics, 196, 1, 2015-232
- Clements, M. P. and Galvão, A. B. (2017) "Model and survey estimates of the term structure of US macroeconomic uncertainty", International Journal of Forecasting, 33, 3, 591-604
- Galvão, A. B. and Owyang, M. T. (2017) "Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy", Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
- Galvão, A. B., Giraitis, L., Kapetanios, G. and Petrova, K. (2016) "A time varying DSGE model with financial frictions", Journal of Empirical Finance, 38, Part B, 690-716
- Clements, M. P. and Galvão, A. B. (2015) "Predicting early data revisions to US GDP and the effects of releases on equity markets", Journal of Business & Economic Statistics , 35, 3, 389-406
- Carriero, A., Clements, M. P. and Galvão, A. B. (2014) "Forecasting with Bayesian multivariate vintage-based VARs", International Journal of Forecasting, 31, 3, 757-768
- Galvão, A. B. and Marcellino, M. (2014) "The effects of the monetary policy stance on the transmission mechanism", Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 18, 3
- Clements, M. P. and Galvão, A. B. (2013) "Forecasting with vector autoregressive models of data vintages : US output growth and inflation", International Journal of Forecasting, 29, 4, 698-714
- Ana Galvao (2013) "Changes in predictive ability with mixed frequency data", International Journal of Forecasting, 29, 3, 395-410
- Galvão, A. B. and Costa, S. (2013) "Does the euro area forward rate provide accurate forecasts of the short rate?", International Journal of Forecasting, 29, 1, 131-141
- Clements, M. P. and Galvão, A. B. (2012) "Real-time forecasting of inflation and output growth with autoregressive models in the presence of data revisions", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Volume 28, Number 3, 458-477
- Clements, M. P. and Galvão, A. B. (2012) "Improving real-time estimates of output and inflation gaps with multiple-vintage models", Journal of Business & Economic Statistics , Volume 30, Number 4, 554-562
- Clements, M. P. and Galvão, A. B. (2010) "First announcements and real economic activity", European Economic Review , Vol.54, No.6, 803-817
- Clements, M. P. and Galvão, A. B. (2009) "Forecasting US output growth using leading indicators : an appraisal using MIDAS models", Journal of Applied Econometrics, 24, 7, 1187-1206
- Clements, M. P., Galvão, A. B. and Kim, J. H. (2008) "Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility", Journal of Empirical Finance, 15, 4, 729-750
- Clements, M. P. and Galvão, A. B. (2008) "Macroeconomic Forecasting With Mixed-Frequency Data: Forecasting Output Growth in the United States", Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol.26, No.4, 546-554
- Artis, M., Galvão, A. B. and Marcellino, M. (2007) "The transmission mechanism in a changing world", Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 1, 39-61
- Ana Galvao (2006) "Structural break threshold VARs for predicting US recessions using the spread", Journal of Applied Econometrics, 21, 4, 463-487
